Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Betting Picks & Live Stream – De Minaur Has Value as the Defending Champion in Washington

james-smith
1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • De Minaur faces tough odds vs. Tsitsipas, trailing 2-14 in H2H meetings
  • He returns to Washington as defending champion amid recent poor form
  • Betting on De Minaur, especially in three sets, offers interesting value
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur looks on against Gabriel Diallo in London (credit: Getty)
Alex de Minaur has looked well below his best over the past many months, struggling for confidence and appearing mentally unsettled on court. The challenge becomes even tougher against Stefanos Tsitsipas, a matchup that has caused him serious problems throughout his career, with the Greek winning 14 of their previous 16 meetings. 

Still, De Minaur returns to Washington as the defending champion and should be highly motivated to rediscover his best tennis at a venue where he has enjoyed success.

De Minaur Looks To Extend His Consistency

  • Alex de Minaur holds a 2–3 record in opening-round matches in Washington. 
  • He has a 13–5 record against players outside the Top 50 in 2026. 
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2–0 in opening-round matches in Washington. 
  • He has lost six of his last eight matches against Top 10 players.

HTH - Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 14-2

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026MiamiR2Stefanos TsitsipasHard6-3, 7-6(3)
2024RomeR16Stefanos TsitsipasClay6-1, 6-2
2024AcapulcoQFAlex de MinaurHard1-6, 6-3, 6-3
2023Los CabosFinalStefanos TsitsipasHard6-3, 6-4
2023BarcelonaQFStefanos TsitsipasClay6-4, 6-2
2022MiamiR3Stefanos TsitsipasHard6-4, 6-3
2022RotterdamQFStefanos TsitsipasIndoor Hard6-4, 6-4
2021Indian WellsR16Stefanos TsitsipasHard6-7(3), 6-3, 6-2
2021BarcelonaR16Stefanos TsitsipasClay7-5, 6-3
2021ATP CupRound RobinStefanos TsitsipasHard6-3, 5-7, 6-4
2019Paris MastersR16Stefanos TsitsipasIndoor Hard6-3, 6-4
2018Next Gen ATP FinalsFinalStefanos TsitsipasIndoor Hard2-4, 4-1, 3-4(3), 3-4(3)
2018TokyoR16Stefanos TsitsipasHard6-3, 5-7, 6-3
2017Porto ChallengerR1Stefanos TsitsipasHard6-2, 6-3
2017Surbiton ChallengerQ1Alex de MinaurGrass7-6(5), 6-1
2017IstanbulQ-R16Stefanos TsitsipasClay6-4, 6-2

Alex de Minaur Returns as Defending Champion

Alex de Minaur arrives in Washington on the back of another strong grass-court swing, reaching the final in 's-Hertogenbosch, the quarterfinals at Queen's Club, and the fourth round at Wimbledon. 

It marks an impressive turnaround after a difficult stretch earlier in the season, when he won only four matches across seven tournaments between Acapulco and Rome. 

The Australian has now reached seven quarterfinals or better this season, in addition to making the fourth round at Wimbledon and the third round at the French Open, helping him maintain his place inside the top 10. 

De Minaur returns to Washington as the defending champion. This will be his sixth appearance at the event. Although he has cleared the opening round only twice in his previous five visits, both runs ended in the final, finishing runner-up in 2018 before lifting the title last year.

CategoryDetails
CountryAustralia
AgeBorn 17 February 1999
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 6
Career HighNo. 5 (13 July 2026)
Elo RankingNo. 9
Tour-Level Titles11

Tsitsipas Seeks to Continue His Resurgence

Stefanos Tsitsipas captured his first ATP Tour title since Dubai last year by winning the Gstaad title, where he survived four consecutive three-set matches, including the final against Raphael Collignon. 

The title run provided a huge confidence boost for the Greek, who has struggled with form and consistency over the past two seasons. Just a few weeks ago, he had dropped close to No. 90 in the rankings, but his success in Gstaad has lifted him back toward the top 50. 

This will be Tsitsipas' third appearance in Washington. He reached at least the semifinals in both of his previous visits, in 2018 and 2019.

CategoryDetails
CountryGreece
AgeBorn 12 August 1998
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 51
Career HighNo. 3 (09 August 2021)
Elo RankingNo. 27
Tour-Level Titles14

Verdict

The head-to-head record makes this a difficult matchup for De Minaur, but his status as the defending champion and his near-even price create an interesting betting opportunity. Taking a chance on Alex de Minaur to win and De Minaur to win in three sets looks worth the risk.

Best Bet1: Alex de Minaur Match Winner @-142.86 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Alex de Minaur 2-1 Correct Score @310.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Alex de Minaur
Match Winner
@-142.86 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Alex de Minaur 2-1
Correct Score
@310.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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