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Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Betting Picks & Live Stream – Jodar Has the Momentum in Cincinnati
- Jodar is in top form with deep runs in recent tournaments
- After a gritty Cincinnati opener and day of rest, he is favored to win
- Recommended bet: Jodar to win, cover -2.5 games, and win in straight sets
Rafael Jodar celebrates his win against Denis Shapovalov in Mason
(credit: Getty)
Rafael Jodar has been in red-hot form throughout the US Open Series, reaching the semi-finals (or further) in both Washington and Montreal. Despite the fatigue concerns, he showed tremendous fighting spirit in his Cincinnati opener, coming back from the brink of defeat to keep his run going.
With a day of rest behind him, Jodar should be able to recover well and bring plenty of energy into this matchup while continuing his recent momentum.
Jodar Targets A Fourth Masters Quarterfinal
- Rafael Jodar has a 3–1 record in third-round matches at Masters events.
- He has a 44–8 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 2–6 career record in third-round matches at Masters events.
- He has a 2–5 record against Top 20 players this year.
HTH - Tied at 1-1
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Washington | SF | Hard | Jodar | 6-7(6), 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2026 | Indian Wells | 1R | Hard | Tabilo | 6-1, 6-2 |
Jodar Brings a Wave of Confidence Into Round Three
Rafael Jodar defeated Denis Shapovalov in a dramatic three-set comeback win to reach the third round in Cincinnati, 7-5, 4-6, 7-5. He trailed 1-5 in the deciding set before making a remarkable comeback to seal the match.
After reaching five consecutive quarterfinal-or-better results on clay, he continued his success on other surfaces by reaching the third round at Wimbledon, the final in Washington and the semifinal in Montreal.
These impressive results helped him achieve a career-high ranking of 11 recently, and he will now be looking to extend his strong momentum this week.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Spain |
| Age | Born 17 September 2006 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 11 |
| Career High | No. 11 (10 August 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 4 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 1 |
Tabilo Finds His Cincinnati Breakthrough
Alejandro Tabilo defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets to reach the third round in Cincinnati, 6-3, 6-4. He did not face a break point and converted two of the three break points he created during the match.
This is his best result in Cincinnati after losing in the first round in both of his previous appearances.
The Chilean has struggled to find consistency on tour following the strong South American clay swing, but his recent semifinal run in Washington has given him some confidence.
He heads into this clash with a 2-6 career record in third-round matches at Masters level and is currently on a six-match winning streak.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Chile |
| Age | Born 02 June 1997 |
| Plays | Left-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 29 |
| Career High | No. 19 (01 July 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 47 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 4 |
Verdict
Jodar's current form, confidence and resilience make him the player to trust here. The Spaniard has consistently produced strong performances throughout the US Open Series and should have enough energy after his day of rest to maintain his level.
Backing Rafael Jodar to win, cover the -2.5 games handicap and win in straight sets offers an attractive betting combination.
Rafael Jodar
Match Winner
@-243.90 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Jodar -2.5
Handicap Games
@-163.93 - 2 Units
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Jodar 2-0
Correct Score
@102.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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