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Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Betting Picks & Live Stream – Rising Spaniard Holds the Edge in Montreal
- Jodar defeated Musetti last week and carries strong momentum
- Musetti is still regaining form after injury, raising concerns
- Jodar is favored to win again, potentially in straight sets
Rafael Jodar celebrates against Kei Nishikori in Washington
(credit: Getty)
Rafael Jodar heads into this rematch full of confidence after defeating Lorenzo Musetti in three sets in Washington just last week. The Spaniard has carried that momentum into Montreal with another winning start, continuing the outstanding form that has made him one of the hottest players on tour in recent weeks.
Musetti, meanwhile, is still searching for his best level after returning from injury. While there have been encouraging signs, questions remain over both his fitness and match sharpness. Those factors leave Jodar well placed to repeat last week's success.
Jodar To Extend His Remarkable Run
- Jodar has won at least two matches in each of his last eight events.
- He has a 2–6 record against Top 20 players.
- Musetti has won multiple matches in six of the eight events he has played in 2026.
- He has a 2–3 record against Top 20 players in 2026.
HTH - Rafael Jodar leads1-0
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Washington | QF | Hard | Rafael Jodar | 1-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
Jodar Eyes Another Masters Breakthrough
Rafael Jodar moved into the third round in Montreal after coming from a set down to defeat Corentin Moutet 4-6, 6-1, 6-3. Despite showing signs of fatigue following his long run in Washington, the Spaniard produced another impressive performance to continue his remarkable rise.
Since March, Jodar has won at least two matches in every tournament he has entered, compiling six quarterfinal-or-better finishes. That consistency highlights his rapid development over the past four months, and he will be looking to extend that streak this week.
Those results have helped Jodar climb to a career-high ranking of No. 15. He is now chasing his best-ever result at a Masters 1000 event on hard courts.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Spain |
| Age | Born 17 September 2006 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 15 |
| Career High | No. 15 (03 August 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 5 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 1 |
Musetti Builds on Strong Return
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Nicolas Mejia 7-6, 6-2 to reach the third round in Montreal. The Italian recovered from a 1-4 deficit in the opening-set tiebreak before completing a convincing straight-sets victory.
Musetti has been hampered by injury problems this season and has played a limited schedule. Even so, he has won at least two matches in six of his eight tournaments, with his best results including quarterfinal appearances at the Australian Open and in Washington last week.
Last year, Musetti reached the third round in Toronto before losing to Alex Michelsen in straight sets. He will be aiming to improve on that result this week.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Italy |
| Age | Born 03 March 2002 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 13 |
| Career High | No. 5 (12 January 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 27 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 2 |
Verdict
With confidence, momentum, and the psychological advantage from their recent meeting, Jodar looks primed to defeat Musetti for the second time in as many weeks. Backing Rafael Jodar to win, Jodar to win in straight sets, and Jodar to cover the -2.5 games handicap all look like excellent options.
Rafael Jodar
Match Winner
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Jodar 2-0
Correct Score
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Jodar -2.5
Handicap Games
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