Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud Betting Picks & Live Stream – Ruud to Deliver Another Comfortable Win in Madrid

james-smith
1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Ruud wins matches convincingly in Madrid, showing dominance
  • Tsitsipas builds confidence, winning consecutive matches
  • Their head-to-head remains tied at 3-3, promising a thrilling face-off
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud plays a forehand against Alejandro Davidovich in Madrid (credit: Getty)
Casper Ruud has been extremely dominant in his first two matches in Madrid, conceding just five games combined against Jaume Munar and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. As the defending champion, he looks in complete control and full of confidence.

Experience Clash In Madrid

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is 3–1 in R16 matches in Madrid. 
  • He has lost 11 of his last 15 matches against Top 20 players. 
  • Casper Ruud has lost seven of his last nine R16 matches in Masters events. 
  • He has won 10 of his last 11 matches against outside Top 50 players on clay.

HTH - Tied at 3-3

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2024BarcelonaClayFRuud7-5, 6-3
2024Monte CarloClayFTsitsipas6-1, 6-4
2024Los CabosHardSFRuud6-4, 7-6(4)
2021TorontoHardQFTsitsipas6-1, 6-4
2021MadridClayR16Ruud7-6(4), 6-4
2016Futures 2016ClayFTsitsipas6-3, 6-7(2), 7-6(2)

Tsitsipas Builds Confidence In Madrid

Stefanos Tsitsipas moved into the fourth round in Madrid after defeating Daniel Mérida Aguilar 6-4, 6-2 in comfortable straight sets. He saved all four break points and broke his opponent three times during the match. 

This was a much-needed result for the 27-year-old, who has been struggling significantly since last year and arrived in Madrid on a three-match losing streak, including back-to-back opening-round losses on clay in Monte Carlo and Munich.

It is the first time he has won three consecutive matches on tour since his title-winning run in Dubai 2025. He now needs to build on that momentum, as a deep run this week would be important for both his ranking and confidence. 

Before this recent slump, Tsitsipas reached the Madrid round of 16 in four consecutive seasons between 2019 and 2023, converting three of those runs into quarterfinal appearances.

CategoryDetails
NationalityGreece
Age27 (12 August 1998)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking80
Career High3 (09 August 2021)
Elo Ranking34 (Rating: 1844)
Tour level titles13

Ruud Keeps Madrid Crown Hopes Alive

Casper Ruud continued his title defense in Madrid with a dominant 6-3, 6-1 win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to reach the fourth round. Earlier this week, he also defeated Jaume Munar in quick straight sets. 

The Norwegian arrived in Madrid with some fitness concerns after retiring against Felix Auger-Aliassime in Monte Carlo, but he has shown no signs of trouble and has looked very sharp in both matches so far. 

He has had a mixed season overall. In seven tournaments this year, he managed multiple wins only three times, reaching the fourth round at the Australian Open and Indian Wells, along with the third round in Monte Carlo. 

Ruud holds a 2-1 record in Madrid round-of-16 matches, reaching the semifinal in 2021 and winning the title in 2025, while his only loss at this stage came against Felix Auger-Aliassime in 2024.

CategoryDetails
NationalityNorway
Age27 (22 December 1998)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking15
Career High2 (12 September 2022)
Elo Ranking20 (Rating: 1926)
Tour level titles14

Verdict

With the current level and momentum, Ruud is expected to take charge once again. Backing Ruud to win in straight sets and to cover the -3.5 games handicap fits well with the way he has been performing this fortnight.

Best Bet1: Casper Ruud Match Winner @-256.41 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Ruud 2-0 Correct Score @100.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ruud -3.5 Handicap Games @101.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Casper Ruud
Match Winner
@-256.41 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Ruud 2-0
Correct Score
@100.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Ruud -3.5
Handicap Games
@101.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

Upcoming Events

20 September 2026