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Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Mensik to Serve His Way Through in Madrid
- Khachanov ends a 3-match losing streak, defeating Walton in straight sets
- Mensik returns from injury with a strong clay season start, beating Damm
- Mensik's serve might give him an edge over Khachanov at altitude
Jakub Mensik returns a shot against Frances Tiafoe in Miami
(credit: Getty)
Jakub Mensik is returning from a brief injury break after Miami, so he may not be at his absolute best yet. However, his opponent Karen Khachanov has also struggled for form this season, holding a modest record and failing to hit his usual level.
Mensik Searches For Reset
- Karen Khachanov has won five of his last six third-round matches in clay Masters events.
- He has lost five of his last seven matches against outside Top 20 players.
- Jakub Mensik is on a four-match losing streak in third-round matches at Masters events.
- He has lost seven of his last nine matches against Top 20 players.
HTH - Karen Khachanov leads 2-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Indian Wells | Hard | 2R | Khachanov | 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 2024 | Doha | Hard | F | Khachanov | 7-6(12), 6-4 |
Khachanov Finds Winning Rhythm Again
Karen Khachanov defeated Adam Walton 6-2, 6-3 in straight sets to reach the third round in Madrid. He saved all four break points he faced and converted four of his 10 chances.
With this victory, he snapped a three-match losing streak on tour, which included opening-round exits in both Monte Carlo and Barcelona during the clay swing.
Apart from a third-round run at the Australian Open and a quarterfinal in Doha, he has struggled to win multiple matches this season. While his ranking has not dropped significantly, he needs to regain rhythm and confidence before the demanding weeks ahead.
Khachanov enters this clash with a 5-5 record in third-round matches at clay Masters events, although he has won five of his last six at this stage.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 29 (21 May 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 16 |
| Career High | 8 (15 July 2019) |
| Elo Ranking | 36 (Rating: 1834) |
| Tour level titles | 7 |
Mensik Begins Clay Swing Positively
Jakub Mensik began his clay season in Madrid after a month-long break and opened with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Martin Damm. He saved both break points and won an impressive 88% of his first-serve points.
The Czech had a strong start to the season, winning the Auckland title and reaching the fourth round at the Australian Open, along with a semifinal in Doha and a quarterfinal in Dubai.
However, his level dropped in recent weeks with back-to-back early exits, including a disappointing title-defense loss in Miami, which pushed him outside the top 20 in the rankings.
Mensik holds a 4-5 record in third-round matches at Masters level and has lost his last four at this stage. His most recent win in a Masters third round came in Rome last year.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Czech Republic |
| Age | 20 (1 September 2005) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 27 |
| Career High | 12 (02 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 17 (Rating: 1927) |
| Tour level titles | 2 |
Verdict
In altitude conditions, Mensik’s serve should be a major weapon and give him a clear edge. Mensik to win and to win in straight sets both stand out as the more convincing plays in this matchup.
Jakub Mensik
Match Winner
@-149.25 - 2 Units
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Mensik 2-0
Correct Score
@156.00 - 2 Units
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