Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Betting Picks & Live Stream – Tsitsipas Can Control the Contest in Cincinnati

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James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • Tsitsipas leads Auger-Aliassime 7-4 in head-to-head meetings
  • Auger-Aliassime returns from injury, raising fitness concerns
  • Expert prediction: Tsitsipas to win, likely in straight sets
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas plays a backhand against Valentin Royer in Mason (credit: Getty)
Stefanos Tsitsipas has a psychological advantage in this matchup, having won seven of the last 11 meetings with Felix Auger-Aliassime. That advantage becomes even more significant with Auger-Aliassime returning from a back injury that forced him to miss both Washington and Montreal. 

With questions over his fitness and match sharpness, Tsitsipas looks to have the upper hand heading into this clash.

Tsitsipas Seeks To Rebuild Momentum

  • Tsitsipas has failed to win multiple main-draw matches in seven of his last eight events. 
  • He has lost 10 of his last 12 matches against Top 5 players. 
  • Auger-Aliassime has a 5–1 record in opening-round matches at Cincinnati. 
  • He has a 19–4 record against players outside the Top 50.

HTH - Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 7-4

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025Hopman CupHardAuger-Aliassime7-6(4), 6-3
2025DubaiFHardTsitsipas6-3, 6-3
2023Paris2RIndoor hardTsitsipas6-3, 7-6(4)
2022RotterdamFIndoor hardAuger-Aliassime6-4, 6-2
2021CincinnatiQFHardTsitsipas6-2, 5-7, 6-1
2021BarcelonaQFClayTsitsipas6-3, 6-3
2021AcapulcoQFHardTsitsipas7-5, 4-6, 6-3
2020MarseilleFIndoor hardTsitsipas6-3, 6-4
2019Shanghai2RHardTsitsipas7-6(3), 7-6(3)
2019Queen's ClubQFGrassAuger-Aliassime7-5, 6-2
2019Indian Wells2RHardAuger-Aliassime6-4, 6-2

Tsitsipas Chases a Stronger North American Campaign

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Valentin Royer in tight straight sets to reach the second round in Cincinnati, 7-6, 7-5. Despite losing his serve twice, he stayed in control during the crucial moments to finish the match in straight sets. 

Since reaching the final in 2022, he has failed to win multiple matches in Cincinnati in his last three campaigns and will be looking to break that streak this week. 

The Greek has played 17 events this year and registered multiple main-draw wins only four times, notably winning the title in Gstaad last month, along with reaching the fourth round in Madrid and the third round in Miami.

CategoryDetails
CountryGreece
AgeBorn 12 August 1998
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 53
Career HighNo. 3 (09 August 2021)
Elo RankingNo. 29
Tour-Level Titles14

Auger-Aliassime Brings Strong Form Into Cincinnati

Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to play his first match since his quarterfinal run at Wimbledon, where he lost to Novak Djokovic in five sets. It was his best result at the tournament. 

The Canadian has posted strong results across all surfaces this year, including winning the title in Montpellier, reaching the final in Rotterdam and the semifinals in Doha, along with the quarterfinals at the French Open, Wimbledon and Monte Carlo. 

These results helped him achieve a career-high ranking of No. 4 a few months ago, and he will now be looking to continue his momentum this week. 

He has played in Cincinnati six times before and cleared the opening-round hurdle in his last five appearances, including reaching the quarterfinals three times.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
AgeBorn 08 August 2000
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 4
Career HighNo. 4 (08 June 2026)
Elo RankingNo. 7
Tour-Level Titles9

Verdict

Tsitsipas' strong head-to-head record, combined with Auger-Aliassime's recent injury concerns and lack of match practice, makes the Greek the clear pick here. If Tsitsipas maintains the level he has shown recently, he should have enough quality to control the contest. 

Backing Stefanos Tsitsipas to win and to win in straight sets.

Best Bet1: Stefanos Tsitsipas Match Winner @118.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Tsitsipas 2-0 Correct Score @248.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Match Winner
@118.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Bet at Stake.com
Tsitsipas 2-0
Correct Score
@248.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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