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12 Jan 2026Read More
Florida at Mississippi State Preview & Picks – Gators To Cover In College Football Road Win
- Florida at Mississippi State picks for Saturday, September 21
- Game is taking place at Davis Wade Stadium
- Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)
- Florida at Mississippi State Preview & Picks
- Head To Head
- Florida Form
- Mississippi State Form
Florida at Mississippi State Preview & Picks
Florida at Mississippi State Preview & Picks
Florida are tipped to cover as they win for only the second time this season.
The Gators’ only win so far came as a betting favorite and they are facing a Bulldogs team who just got blown out at home.
- Florida are 1-0 as a betting favorite this season
- Mississippi State lost by 24 points at home last week
- Mississippi State are 2-7-0 ATS in their previous 9 home games
- All 3 of Florida’s game so far have produced under 58.5 total points
Head To Head
- Florida lead the all-time series 2-1
- Florida won 13-6 when the two teams last met in September 2018
Florida Form
Florida head out on the road for the first time this season with a 1-2 record and looking to bounce back from a conference defeat.
The Gators, who ended last season on a five-game losing skid, have so far struggled to turn things around in 2024.
They opened up with a home game against State rivals Miami FL and were blown out by the Hurricanes, 41-17.
Florida finally halted their losing run a week later, but that victory came against weak opposition as they beat Samford 45-7.
The Gators faced a tougher challenge a week later as they welcome Texas A&M at ‘The Swamp’, and they returned to losing ways with a 33-20 defeat to the Aggies.
Mississippi State Form
Mississippi State enter this matchup looking to cause an upset and bounce back from a couple of defeats that have left them 1-2.
The Bulldogs, who went 5-7 in 2023, kicked things off with a 56-7 demolition of Eastern Kentucky in their season-opener, but they have not won since.
They have stepped up the level of opposition over the past couple of games, and that has resulted in two defeats.
Mississippi State visited Arizona State for their opening road game and suffered a 30-23 defeat in that one.
The Bulldogs then returned home to take on Toledo and gave up 28 first-half points on their way to a 41-17 blowout loss.
Verdict
Florida have suffered a couple of bad losses already this season, but Mississippi State are a step down from the likes of Miami FL and Texas A&M.
This is a ‘get-right’ game for the Gators and we expect them to cover a one-touchdown spread as they pick up the ‘W’ on the road.
This is a ‘get-right’ game for the Gators and we expect them to cover a one-touchdown spread as they pick up the ‘W’ on the road.
Florida -6.0
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Under 58.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
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Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.
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