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Missouri vs Virginia Preview & Picks – Tigers To Cover 1-Touchdown Spread In Gator Bowl

leigh-copson
17 Dec 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 17 Dec 2025
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  • Missouri vs Virginia picks for Saturday, December 27
  • Game is taking place at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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Missouri vs Virginia Preview & Picks

Missouri are backed to cover the spread as they win the Gator Bowl.

The Tigers defense can slow down this Virginia attack, while the offense leans on star running back Ahmad Hardy to get the job done.

  • Missouri are 4-0-0 ATS against non-conference opposition
  • Missouri are 4-0-0 ATS when favored by 7 points or less this season
  • This Under has cashed in 6 of Missouri’s previous 8 games
  • The Under hit in 6 of Virginia’s last 7 games with 1 push

Head To Head

  • Missouri lead the all-time series 1-0
  • Missouri won 31-7 when the two teams last met in September 1973

Missouri Form

Missouri’s struggles in the SEC resulted in four conference defeats as they finished the campaign 8-4.

The Tigers opened with three straight non-conference wins to break into AP’s early-season rankings, and they kicked off their SEC slate with a 29-20 win over South Carolina.

They made it five-in-a-row with one more non-conference win, but that run was ended when they returned to action and lost 27-24 to Alabama.

Missouri responded with a 23-17 victory at Auburn, only to then lose back-to-back games against top-10 teams, falling 17-10 at Vanderbilt and 38-17 at home to Texas A&M.

The Tigers wrapped up the regular season by sandwiching a 17-6 defeat at Oklahoma with a 49-27 home win against Mississippi State and a 31-17 road victory at Arkansas.

Virginia Form

Virginia made it all the way to the ACC Championship Game, only to lose for a third time and end the regular season with a 10-3 record.

The Cavaliers went 2-1 to open the season, with the loss to NC State being considered a non-conference game, and when they started their ACC slate they went on a tear.

They beat Stanford 48-20 and upset Florida 46-38 to enter AP’s rankings, and then won 30-27 in Louisville before wrapping up their non-conference slate with a win over Washington State.

Virginia then went out on the road to beat NC State 17-16 and Cal 31-20, before rebounding from a 16-9 loss to Wake Forest with a 34-17 win at Duke and a 27-7 home victory against Virginia Tech.

That earned the Cavaliers a spot in the ACC Championship Game, but they came up short as they lost 27-20 to Duke.

Verdict

Missouri may have lost more games, but they will be more calloused after a tough SEC schedule.

The Tigers defense is strong and running back Ahmad Hardy is one of the best in college football, so give us the Tigers in the Gator Bowl.

Best Bet1: Missouri -7.0 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 48.5 Total Points @1010.1 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Missouri -7.0
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Under 48.5
Total Points
@1010.1 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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