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Texas vs Michigan Preview & Picks – Citrus Bowl Success For Arch Manning & Longhorns

leigh-copson
16 Dec 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 16 Dec 2025
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  • Texas vs Michigan picks for Wednesday, December 31
  • Citrus Bowl is taking place at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)

Texas vs Michigan Preview & Picks

Texas are tipped to cover the spread as they win the Citrus Bowl.

The Longhorns ended the regular season in positive fashion, while Michigan just fired their head coach amid yet another scandal for the programme.

  • Texas were 6-1 in their final 7 games of the regular season
  • Michigan’s 2 regular season defeats came away from Ann Arbor
  • The Under cashed in 4 of Texas’ 5 games against ranked teams
  • The Under has hit in 5 of Michigan’s previous 8 games

Head To Head

  • Texas lead the all-time series 2-0
  • Texas won 31-12 when the two teams last met in September 2024

Texas Form

Texas missed out on the college football playoffs as three defeats in 12 games proved to be costly.

The Longhorns entered the campaign as AP’s number one ranked team, but they lost 14-7 to defending champions Ohio State and then underwhelmed in three non-conference wins.

They opened their SEC slate with a 29-21 loss at Florida, only to rebound with four straight wins as they beat Oklahoma 23-6, Kentucky 16-13, Mississippi State 45-38 and Vanderbilt 34-31.

Texas’ playoff hopes suffered a fatal blow in mid-November though, as their four-game run was ended by a 34-10 loss to Georgia.

The Longhorns did at least end the regular season in positive fashion though, beating Arkansas 52-37 before upsetting Texas A&M 27-17.

Michigan Form

Michigan missed out on an appearance in the Big Ten Championship and a trip to the college football playoffs as they also lost three times in the regular season.

The Wolverines opened with three non-conference games, sandwiching a 24-13 defeat at Oklahoma with a couple of wins over small schools.

They made a solid start to the Big Ten campaign as they backed up a 30-27 win at Nebraska with a 24-10 victory over Wisconsin, but they suffered a setback a week later as they fell 31-13 at USC.

Michigan rebounded with a 24-7 win at Washington, and followed that up by downing Michigan State 31-20, Purdue 21-16, Northwestern 24-22 and Maryland 45-20.

The Wolverines were no match for Ohio State in the finale though, as they were beaten 27-9 at home by the Buckeyes.

Verdict

Texas failed to live up to pre-season expectations, but they did at least end the year in positive fashion.

The same cannot be said for Michigan, so we are backing the Longhorns to come out on top.

Best Bet1: Texas -5.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 47.5 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Texas -5.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Under 47.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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