Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Betting Picks & Live Stream – Washington Challenge Favors De Minaur

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2 hours ago
James Smith 2 hours ago
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  • De Minaur defends his Washington title against Nakashima
  • Nakashima recently beat De Minaur, promising a close match
  • Back De Minaur to win in three sets, with over 22.5 games expected
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur returns a shot against Cruz Hewitt in Washington (credit: Getty)
Alex de Minaur has not been at his best in recent months, while Brandon Nakashima arrives in a confident mood and even defeated the Australian just a few weeks ago at Queen's Club. That recent result makes this a difficult test for De Minaur, but as the top seed and defending champion in Washington, he has plenty of motivation to fight for every win and protect the ranking points he earned here last year.

De Minaur Looks To Extend His Winning Run

  • Alex de Minaur is 2–0 in Washington quarterfinals. 
  • He has a 25–11 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026. 
  • Brandon Nakashima is 3–0 in tour-level quarterfinals in 2026. 
  • He has a 3–20 career record against Top 20 players.

HTH - Brandon Nakashima leads 2-1

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026Queen's ClubQFGrassBrandon Nakashima7-5, 6-3
2025WashingtonQFHardAlex de Minaur6-4, 6-4
2021AntwerpR1Indoor HardBrandon Nakashima6-4, 6-0

De Minaur Continues Title Defense

Alex de Minaur was pushed hard by Stefanos Tsitsipas in the opening round but enjoyed a much more comfortable outing against Cruz Hewitt, winning 6-2, 6-3 to reach the Washington quarterfinals. 

This is De Minaur's third quarterfinal appearance in Washington, and he has converted both of his previous runs into finals, finishing runner-up in 2018 before lifting the title in 2025. 

After a strong start to the season, the Australian endured a difficult spell in the middle of the year before rediscovering his best form. His recent resurgence includes a runner-up finish in Hertogenbosch, a semifinal appearance in Hamburg, and a fourth-round run at Wimbledon. 

De Minaur has reached six ATP Tour quarterfinals this season, winning three of them. His most recent defeat at this stage came against Brandon Nakashima at Queen's Club last month.

CategoryDetails
CountryAustralia
AgeBorn 17 February 1999
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 6
Career HighNo. 5 (13 July 2026)
Elo RankingNo. 9
Tour-Level Titles11

Nakashima Returns to Washington Quarterfinals

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jakub Mensik 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 to book his place in the Washington quarterfinals. The American saved four of the six break points he faced and converted two of his three break-point opportunities. 

This is Nakashima's second quarterfinal appearance in Washington. Last year, he faced Alex de Minaur at this stage and lost in straight sets. He will now be looking to gain revenge and reach his first semifinal at the event. 

The American has lacked consistency throughout the season, but several deep runs have kept him comfortably inside the top 30. He has reached three ATP Tour quarterfinals this year and won all of them, going on to finish runner-up in Brisbane and reach the semifinals in both Acapulco and Queen's Club.

CategoryDetails
CountryUnited States
AgeBorn 03 August 2001
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 33
Career HighNo. 29 (05 May 2025)
Elo RankingNo. 36
Tour-Level Titles2

Verdict

Nakashima's recent form and success in this matchup suggest another close battle, but De Minaur's motivation and pedigree at this event give him the edge. Backing Alex de Minaur to win, De Minaur to win in three sets, and over 22.5 games in the match looks a good way to approach this contest.

Best Bet1: Alex de Minaur Match Winner @-181.82 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 22.5 Total Games @-113.64 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: De Minaur 2-1 Correct Score @294.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Alex de Minaur
Match Winner
@-181.82 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 22.5
Total Games
@-113.64 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
De Minaur 2-1
Correct Score
@294.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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