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Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Betting Picks & Live Stream – De Minaur Can Continue His Strong Grass-Court Form in London
- De Minaur arrives confident after a grass-court final
- Diallo struggles for form, with mostly early-round exits
- Prediction: De Minaur to win in straight sets, covering -3.5 games
Alex de Minaur returns the ball to Kamil Majchrzak in Rosmalen
(credit: Getty)
Alex de Minaur is coming off a long week in 's-Hertogenbosch, where he reached the final, but any concerns about fatigue or the quick turnaround are unlikely to be heavily exposed in this matchup. His opponent, Gabriel Diallo, has struggled for both form and fitness this season and arrives without much momentum behind him.
De Minaur Opens His Queen’s Campaign
- Alex de Minaur holds a 3–3 record in opening-round matches at Queen’s Club.
- He owns a 12–7 record against players outside the Top 50 this year.
- Gabriel Diallo has a 4–9 record in opening-round matches in 2026.
- He holds a 0–11 career record against Top 10 players.
HTH - Alex de Mianur leads 1-0
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Paris Masters | Indoor Hard | 2R | De Minaur | 7-6(8), 4-6, 6-3 |
| 2023 | Toronto | Hard | 2R | De Minaur | 6-4, 7-5 |
De Minaur Arrives After Strong Week in Hertogenbosch
Alex de Minaur began the grass-court season with a runner-up finish in 's-Hertogenbosch last week. He defeated Benjamin Bonzi and Adrian Mannarino on his way to the final but was unable to stop first-time finalist Kamil Majchrzak in the championship match.
After a strong start to the season, the Australian struggled for results between Acapulco and Rome. During that stretch, he won only four matches across eight tournaments and suffered four opening-round exits.
His recent results have been more encouraging, however. He reached the semifinals in Hamburg, the third round at Roland Garros and followed it up with another final appearance in 's-Hertogenbosch, showing signs of returning to his best level.
This will be De Minaur's seventh appearance at Queen's Club. His best results came with a semifinal run in 2021 and a runner-up finish in 2023, although both of his most recent visits ended in the opening round.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Canada |
| Age | 24 (24 September 2001) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 84 |
| Career High | 33 (18 August 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 106 (Rating: 1697) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Diallo Looking to End Difficult Run
Gabriel Diallo has endured a difficult season so far, struggling to put together consistent results while also dealing with fitness issues earlier in the year. He arrives this week looking to halt a disappointing run of form.
The Canadian has played 13 tournaments this season, with nine of them ending in the opening round. His only tournament featuring multiple main-draw wins came at Indian Wells earlier this year.
Last week, Diallo returned to 's-Hertogenbosch as the defending champion but suffered an opening-round defeat to Adrian Mannarino. He now makes his second appearance at Queen's Club, having reached the second round on his debut last year.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Canada |
| Age | 24 (24 September 2001) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 84 |
| Career High | 33 (18 August 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 106 (Rating: 1697) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Verdict
With the confidence gained from his strong start to the grass-court swing, De Minaur should be well positioned to take control of this contest. Backing De Minaur to win in straight sets and cover the -3.5 games handicap.
De Minaur 2-0
Correct Score
@-156.25 - 2 Units
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De Minaur -3.5
Handicap Games
@-175.44 - 2 Units
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