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Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff Betting Picks & Live Stream – Struff Has the Weapons to Trouble Hurkacz at Wimbledon
- Struff upset Medvedev and is on a strong Wimbledon run
- Hurkacz still not back to top form post-injury, struggles in fourth rounds
- Value bets favor Struff, including set/game handicaps and tiebreak
Jan-Lennard Struff celebrates victory over Daniil Medvedev in London
(credit: Getty)
Hubert Hurkacz is still some way short of his best in terms of both form and fitness, making it difficult to justify backing him at short odds. Jan-Lennard Struff, meanwhile, has built excellent momentum during this Wimbledon campaign, repeatedly finding ways to turn difficult situations around and keeping his winning run alive with a series of resilient performances.
Struff Chases A Career Milestone
- Hurkacz holds a 2–4 record in fourth-round Grand Slam matches.
- He has a 6–9 record against players outside the Top 50 in 2026.
- Struff is 0–3 in fourth-round Grand Slam matches.
- He owns a 6–5 record against players outside the Top 50 in 2026.
HTH - Tied at 2-2
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Dubai | Hard | 1R | Hubert Hurkacz | 7–6(5), 6–7(7), 7–6(6) |
| 2023 | Basel | Indoor Hard | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6–1, 6–4 |
| 2023 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Jan-Lennard Struff | 3–6, 6–3, 6–3 |
| 2016 | Davis Cup | Indoor Hard | – | Jan-Lennard Struff | 7–6(4), 4–6, 6–1 |
Resurgence Continues at Wimbledon
Hubert Hurkacz moved into the fourth round after defeating the in-form Tommy Paul 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2. After dropping the opening set, the Pole took control of the match and dominated the final three sets.
This is Hurkacz's third appearance in the fourth round at Wimbledon. He converted his first opportunity into a semifinal run in 2021, his best Grand Slam result, before losing at this stage in 2023.
The Pole desperately needed this run after returning from a six-month injury layoff. He managed just one main-draw win during the first three months of the season, highlighting his difficult start to the year.
However, he has steadily rebuilt his confidence since the clay swing, reaching the third round in Monte Carlo, the final of the Cagliari Challenger, and recording multiple main-draw wins in Madrid, Roland Garros, and now Wimbledon.
Hurkacz heads into this clash with a 2-4 career record in Grand Slam fourth-round matches. He has lost four of his last five matches at this stage and will be aiming to reach his second Wimbledon quarterfinal.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Poland |
| Age | 29 (Born 11 February 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 96 |
| Career High | 6 (5 August 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 52 (Rating: 1798) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 8 |
Struff Rediscovers His Best
Jan-Lennard Struff moved into the fourth round at Wimbledon after upsetting Daniil Medvedev in straight sets, 7-6, 7-6, 7-5. The German trailed by a break in all three sets before fighting back each time to complete one of the biggest wins of the tournament.
The victory was even more impressive considering he had already survived back-to-back five-set thrillers against Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez earlier this week.
With this run, Struff snapped his four-match losing streak in third-round matches at Grand Slams and achieved his best result at Wimbledon.
The German arrived at Wimbledon on the back of a difficult stretch, having failed to win multiple main-draw matches in any of the 16 tournaments he played earlier this season.
Struff heads into this clash with a 0-3 career record in Grand Slam fourth-round matches. All three of those defeats came in straight sets against top-10 opponents.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Germany |
| Age | 36 (Born 25 April 1990) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 74 |
| Career High | 21 (19 June 2023) |
| Elo Ranking | 117 (Rating: 1694) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 1 |
Verdict
With Hurkacz still searching for his best level, the value appears to lie with the underdog. Backing Struff to win over 18.5 games, Struff to cover the +1.5 sets handicap, Struff to cover the +4.5 games handicap, and a tiebreak to be played are the selections that offer the most appeal in this matchup.
Over 18.5
Total Struff
@-163.93 - 2 Units
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Struff +1.5
Handicap Sets
@105.00 - 2 Units
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Struff +4.5
Handicap Games
@-153.85 - 2 Units
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