Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Betting Picks & Live Stream – Cerundolo Can Extend His Winning Week in Gstaad

james-smith
3 hours ago
James Smith 3 hours ago
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  • Cerundolo has won 11 of his last 12 clay matches
  • Collignon breaks into the Top 40 and seeks his first ATP final
  • Cerundolo is tipped as the better value pick based on current form
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo plays a backhand against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in London (credit: Getty)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has enjoyed another outstanding week in Gstaad, reaching the semifinals after three consecutive three-set victories. He is now just one win away from matching last year's runner-up finish. This is a finely balanced matchup, with both players capable of coming through, but Cerundolo offers better value as the underdog based on his form and confidence this week.

Cerundolo Chases Another Clay-Court Final

  • Collignon lost his only previous tour-level semifinal in Brussels last year. 
  • He has a 7–8 career record against Top 50 players. 
  • Manuel Cerundolo is 1–0 in tour-level semifinals. 
  • He has a 3–5 record against Top 50 players in 2026.

HTH - Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 3-0

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026Eastbourne1RGrassJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-4, 7-6
2026Bordeaux ChallengerFinalClayJuan Manuel Cerundolo5-7, 6-1, 7-6
2025Braunschweig ChallengerQFClayJuan Manuel Cerundolo4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Collignon Eyes Maiden ATP Final

Raphael Collignon moved into the semifinals after defeating Valentin Vacherot in a hard-fought three-set battle, 7-6, 4-6, 7-5. He fired 14 aces and saved two of the four break points he faced during the match. 

He will be relieved with the result after losing both of his previous tour-level quarterfinals this season in Brisbane and Halle. 

Collignon has also reached the third round at the French Open and Miami, along with three Challenger finals this season. Those results helped him break into the top 50, and this run will see him make his top 40 debut next week. 

This is only the second tour-level semifinal of his career. He previously reached the last four in Brussels last year, where he lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime in straight sets, and will now look to go one step further.

CategoryDetails
CountryBelgium
Age24 (Born 13 January 2002)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking42
Career High42 (13 July 2026)
Elo Ranking25 (Rating: 1883)
Tour-Level Titles0

Cerundolo Stuns Ruud to Reach Semifinals

Juan Manuel Cerundolo secured his place in the Gstaad semifinals after upsetting Casper Ruud in three sets, 3-6, 7-5, 6-2. He trailed by a set and 2-4 before producing another impressive comeback to seal the victory. 

This is his third comeback win in three sets this week after recovering from a set down against both Zdenek Kolar and Miomir Kecmanovic in the previous rounds. 

Cerundolo has now won 11 of his last 12 matches on clay, including his Challenger title in Bordeaux and a fourth-round run at the French Open, the best Grand Slam result of his career, which has significantly boosted his confidence. 

This is only the second tour-level semifinal of his career. He previously reached the last four in Cordoba in 2021, where he went on to win the title, and will now look to reach another ATP final.

CategoryDetails
CountryArgentina
Age24 (Born 15 November 2001)
PlaysLeft-handed
World Ranking45
Career High42 (29 June 2026)
Elo Ranking59 (Rating: 1782)
Tour-Level Titles1

Verdict

With both players coming off physically demanding matches, the winner could take control early before fatigue becomes a major factor. Cerundolo looks the better value pick, while a straight-set outcome also appeals. Backing Cerundolo to win, under 2.5 sets in the match, and under 22.5 games are the selections that look most appealing.

Best Bet1: Manuel Cerundolo Match Winner @124.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 2.5 Total Sets @-169.49 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Under 22.5 Total Games @102.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Manuel Cerundolo
Match Winner
@124.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Under 2.5
Total Sets
@-169.49 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Under 22.5
Total Games
@102.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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