Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions & Picks – Thunder To Cover As Big NBA Playoffs Favorites

leigh-copson
05 May 2026
Leigh Copson 05 May 2026
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  • Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder picks for Tuesday, May 5
  • Game is taking place at Paycom Center
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions & Picks

Oklahoma City are tipped to cover a double digit spread as they win Game 1.

This is a lot of points, but these two teams met four times during the regular season and the Thunder smacked the Lakers every time – and Los Angeles are without Luka Doncic here.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder won all 4 regular season meetings
  • OKC won all 4 regular season meetings by an average of 29.25 points
  • Los Angeles Lakers are 1-2-0 ATS as a double digit underdog
  • The Over has cashed in each of Oklahoma City’s last 3 games

Head To Head

  • Los Angeles Lakers lead the all-time series 183-132
  • Oklahoma City Thunder won 123-87 when the two teams last met on April 7

Los Angeles Lakers Form

Los Angeles go into this matchup having snapped a two-game skid with the series winner against Houston, and having now won seven of their last nine games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Apr-07 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 87-123
Apr-09 at Golden State Warriors W 119-103
Apr-10 vs Phoenix Suns W 101-73
Apr-12 vs Utah Jazz W 131-107
Apr-18 vs Houston Rockets W 107-98
Apr-21 vs Houston Rockets W 101-94
Apr-24 at Houston Rockets W 112-108 OT
Apr-26 at Houston Rockets L 96-115
Apr-29 vs Houston Rockets L 93-99
May-01 at Houston Rockets W 98-78

Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Oklahoma City enter this series having swept Phoenix in the first round, and having now won 23 of their previous 26 games overall.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Apr-02 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 139-96
Apr-05 vs Utah Jazz W 146-111
Apr-07 at Los Angeles Lakers W 123-87
Apr-08 at Los Angeles Clippers W 128-110
Apr-10 at Denver Nuggets L 107-127
Apr-12 vs Phoenix Suns L 103-135
Apr-19 vs Phoenix Suns W 119-84
Apr-22 vs Phoenix Suns W 120-107
Apr-25 at Phoenix Suns W 121-109
Apr-27 at Phoenix Suns W 131-122

Verdict

For a second-round playoff game the spread is huge, but given what happened in the regular season is it really that much of a shock?

The Thunder absolutely dominated the Lakers across the four meetings, so we are going to lean towards Oklahoma City despite the hefty number.

Best Bet1: Oklahoma City -15.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 214.0 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Oklahoma City -15.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 3 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 214.0
Total Points
@-111.11 - 3 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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