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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Betting Picks & Live Stream – Handicap Appeal Stands Out on Auger-Aliassime at the French Open
- Auger-Aliassime has improved with each round, building confidence on clay
- Nakashima matches his best French Open run, but struggles vs Top 20 players
- Prediction: Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets and cover handicaps
Felix Auger-Aliassime celebrates his victory over Roman Andres Burruchaga in Paris
(credit: Getty)
Felix Auger-Aliassime has steadily improved and grown into this campaign, opening with a tough five-set win before following it up with a much stronger four-set performance in the second round. With every match, he appears to be gaining rhythm, confidence, and comfort in these conditions.
Clash Of Determined Contenders
- Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a 2–0 record in third-round matches at Roland Garros.
- He has lost five of his last 11 matches against players outside the Top 20.
- Brandon Nakashima owns a 2–4 career record in third-round Grand Slam matches.
- He has a 2–19 career record against Top 20 players.
HTH - Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 1-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Florence | Indoor Hard | QF | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3, 6-4 |
Felix Finds a Way Again in Paris
Felix Auger-Aliassime followed his five-set win over Daniel Altmaier with another comeback victory against Roman Andres Burruchaga to reach the third round. He dropped the opening set in both matches but found a way through each time.
These wins come at a good time for the Canadian. Before arriving in Paris, he failed to win multiple matches in four of his last five tournaments, with the third round in Monte Carlo his only notable result during that stretch.
Even with those recent early exits, his clay results have still been better than last year. In 2025, he won only three of his nine clay-court matches and suffered five opening-round defeats.
Away from clay, Auger-Aliassime has continued to post solid results since last season. He reached the finals in Montpellier and Rotterdam, the semifinals in Dubai, and the fourth round at Indian Wells.
He owns a strong 9-2 record in Grand Slam third-round matches and is 2-0 at Roland Garros.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Canada |
| Age | 25 (8 August 2000) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 6 |
| Career High | 5 (17 November 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 12 (Rating: 1957) |
| Tour level titles | 9 |
Nakashima Matches Career-Best Paris Run
Brandon Nakashima moved into the third round at the French Open after defeating Luca Van Assche in five sets, 6-7, 6-4, 5-7, 6-1, 6-3. Nakashima fired 12 aces and won 83 percent of his first-serve points during the match.
This is the second time he has reached the third round at Roland Garros. During his main-draw debut four years ago, he also made it this far before losing to Alexander Zverev in straight sets.
It is also the first time Nakashima has won back-to-back matches at tour level since February. Earlier this season, he reached the final in Brisbane and the semifinals in Acapulco.
The American holds a 2-4 record in Grand Slam third-round matches. His two wins at this stage came at Wimbledon in 2022 and the US Open in 2024.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | USA |
| Age | 24 (3 August 2001) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 35 |
| Career High | 29 (05 May 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 51 (Rating: 1803) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Verdict
Against Brandon Nakashima, who is not nearly as dangerous on clay as he is on faster surfaces, Auger-Aliassime looks well positioned to produce his most dominant performance of the tournament so far. Backing Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets, cover the -1.5 sets handicap, and the -4.5 games handicap.
Aliassime 3-0
Correct Score
@181.00 - 2 Units
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Aliassime -1.5
Handicap Sets
@-149.25 - 2 Units
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Aliassime -4.5
Handicap Games
@-117.65 - 2 Units
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