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Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Betting Picks & Live Stream – Musetti Looks Set to Continue His Cincinnati Run
- Musetti is dominating at the Cincinnati Masters
- Faria faces toughest test yet, seeking his maiden quarter-final
- Experts favor Musetti to win in straight sets and cover the handicap
Lorenzo Musetti plays a forehand against Rafael Jodar in Montreal
(credit: Getty)
Lorenzo Musetti appears to have rediscovered his level this week in Cincinnati, absolutely dominating both of his matches. If he can maintain that level, he should have a comfortable day against Jaime Faria, who is aiming to reach his maiden Masters quarter-final and make his debut at this stage of a Masters tournament.
Musetti Looks To Rewrite His Hard-Court Masters R16 Record
- Jaime Faria had never won more than three matches at tour level before this week.
- He has a 1–4 career record against Top 20 players.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 1–4 record in R16 matches at hard-court Masters events.
- He has a 10–1 record against players outside the Top 50 in 2026.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Jaime Faria's Breakthrough Week Gets Bigger
After defeating Montreal champion and World No. 6 Ben Shelton in straight sets in the previous round, Jaime Faria survived a three-set battle against Adam Walton in the third round, 4-6, 6-4, 7-6. He trailed by a set and 1-4 before producing a remarkable comeback.
This is his best result at Masters level, as he had never previously won a main-draw match at this level. With this run, he is set to achieve a new career-high ranking next week and is currently around No. 70 in the live rankings.
He also reached the quarterfinals in Estoril and Rio de Janeiro and the third round at the French Open earlier this year.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Portugal |
| Age | Born 06 August 2003 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 79 |
| Career High | No. 79 (27 July 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 66 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Lorenzo Musetti Returns to the Masters Last 16
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Michael Zheng in comfortable straight sets to reach the fourth round in Cincinnati, 6-1, 6-3. He lost his serve once and converted five of the 10 break points he created during the match.
This is his sixth Round of 16 appearance at a hard-court Masters event in his career, but he has converted only one of his previous five into a quarterfinal, which came in Paris in 2022. He is also currently on a four-match losing streak in Round of 16 matches at this level.
The Italian has dealt with fitness issues earlier this year, which hampered his progress and limited his schedule. His notable results include reaching the final in Hong Kong and the quarterfinals in the Australian Open, Barcelona and Washington.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Italy |
| Age | Born 03 March 2002 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 15 |
| Career High | No. 5 (12 January 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 27 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 2 |
Verdict
Musetti's dominant performances so far in Cincinnati make him very difficult to oppose here. Faria has enjoyed a strong run, but facing an in-form Musetti at this stage represents a major step up in quality.
Backing Lorenzo Musetti to win, win in straight sets and cover the -3.5 games handicap.
Lorenzo Musetti
Match Winner
@-277.78 - 2 Units
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Musetti 2-0
Correct Score
@-108.70 - 2 Units
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Musetti -3.5
Handicap Games
@-113.64 - 2 Units
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