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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Betting Picks & Live Stream – Cerundolo Looks the Value Side at the French Open
- Cerundolo reached his first Grand Slam Round of 16 after two marathon wins
- Berrettini is physically taxed from the tournament's longest match
- Cerundolo is favored to advance, likely in straight sets
Juan Manuel Cerundolo celebrates victory against Martin Landaluce in Paris
(credit: Getty)
Matteo Berrettini played the longest match of the tournament during his exhausting five-set win over Francisco Comesana, pushing his body to the absolute limit. Given the fitness problems he has already dealt with in recent times, it is difficult to expect him to recover fully and arrive in optimal physical condition for this matchup.
One Step From The Last Eight
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo is looking to reach his first Grand Slam quarterfinal.
- He owns a 10–3 record against players outside the Top 100.
- Matteo Berrettini holds a 5–3 record in Round of 16 matches at Grand Slams.
- He has a 9–8 record against players outside the Top 50 this year.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Argentine Keeps Dream Run Alive
Juan Manuel Cerundolo followed up his upset win over Jannik Sinner with another five-set victory, defeating Martin Landaluce 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 to reach the fourth round. The marathon lasted nearly six hours, and Cerundolo recovered from a break deficit in the deciding set to complete the win.
The Argentine had made five previous Grand Slam main-draw appearances before this tournament. He had cleared the opening round twice but had never progressed further. Now he stands just one win away from his first Grand Slam quarterfinal, helped by his stunning victory over Sinner earlier in the week.
Cerundolo struggled for results after the South American clay swing, but his form returned at the perfect time. He captured the Bordeaux Challenger title just before Roland Garros and has carried that momentum into Paris.
He heads into the fourth round with a 5-6 record in Round of 16 matches at tour-level events. His most recent quarterfinal appearance came in Rio de Janeiro earlier this season.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Argentina |
| Age | 24 (15 November 2001) |
| Plays | Left-handed |
| World Ranking | 56 |
| Career High | 54 (18 May 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 78 (Rating: 1748) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Berrettini Escapes Against Comesana
Matteo Berrettini defeated Francisco Comesana in a dramatic five-set battle to reach the fourth round at the French Open, 7-6, 5-7, 6-7, 6-4, 7-6. The match lasted more than five hours, with Berrettini saving multiple match points in the deciding-set tiebreak before completing the comeback.
This is Berrettini's second Round of 16 appearance at Roland Garros. In his most recent appearance here in 2021, he reached the quarterfinals after receiving a walkover from Roger Federer at this stage before losing to Novak Djokovic in the next round.
The Italian began the season around the Top 60 and struggled to make a major impact. A series of disappointing results at Masters events pushed him outside the Top 100, but this run in Paris has moved him back close to the Top 70.
Berrettini owns a 5-3 record in Grand Slam fourth-round matches. However, he has not won at this stage since his run to the US Open quarterfinals in 2022.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy |
| Age | 30 (12 April 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 105 |
| Career High | 6 (31 January 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 50 (Rating: 1806) |
| Tour level titles | 10 |
Verdict
The value strongly shifts towards Juan Manuel Cerundolo, who is riding high on confidence after a massive win in the previous round. This looks like an excellent spot to side with Cerundolo. Backing Cerundolo to win, win in straight sets, and cover the -1.5 sets handicap.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Match Winner
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Cerundolo 3-0
Correct Score
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Cerundolo -1.5
Handicap Sets
@226.00 - 1 Unit
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