Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Diaz Acosta Betting Picks & Live Stream – Bublik Looks Set for Title Defense in Kitzbuhel
22 Jul 2026Read More
Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Betting Picks & Live Stream – Handicap Value Favors Mochizuki at Wimbledon
- Jodar is favored but faces Mochizuki’s grass-court expertise
- Mochizuki's recent form makes handicap betting options attractive
- Best value picks: Mochizuki +5.5 games, +2.5 sets, and over 17.5 games
Shintaro Mochizuki plays a backhand against Max Basing in London
(credit: Getty)
Shintaro Mochizuki is a former Wimbledon boys' champion, and many of his best performances have come on grass. The Japanese player is naturally comfortable on the surface, and his game is well suited to the quicker conditions, making him a dangerous opponent despite his lower ranking.
Rafael Jodar has enjoyed a much stronger season overall and sits considerably higher in the rankings, but he remains largely inexperienced on grass, having played only a handful of professional matches on the surface. That lack of experience significantly narrows the gap between the two players and gives Mochizuki a genuine opportunity to stay competitive.
A Breakthrough Battle On Grass
- Rafael Jodar holds a 1–0 record in third-round Grand Slam matches.
- He owns an 18–1 record against players outside the Top 100.
- Shintaro Mochizuki has lost 13 of his last 14 matches against Top 50 players.
- This is his best Grand Slam result.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Jodar Delivers Another Comeback
Rafael Jodar reached the third round after backing up his opening-round victory over Felix Gill 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 with a remarkable 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 comeback win against Pablo Carreno Busta. The Spaniard recovered from two sets to one down to continue his dream Wimbledon debut.
The Spaniard has enjoyed a breakthrough Grand Slam season, reaching the fourth round at Roland Garros on his main-draw debut before backing it up with another impressive run at Wimbledon. He has won five consecutive Grand Slam main-draw matches since the French Open.
Jodar has adapted quickly to the professional tour after turning pro late last year, with his recent results helping him establish himself on the ATP Tour.
He is appearing in the third round of a Grand Slam for the second consecutive tournament and will now look to reach the second week of a major for the first time.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Spain |
| Age | 19 (Born 17 September 2006) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 26 |
| Career High | 23 (8 June 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 6 (Rating: 1999) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 1 |
Mochizuki Extends Impressive Run
Shintaro Mochizuki reached the third round at Wimbledon after defeating his second-round opponent in straight sets, following another comfortable win in the opening round. The Japanese qualifier has now won seven of his last eight matches after reaching the quarterfinals at the Nottingham Challenger.
The Japanese will be relieved with this run after a disappointing first five months of the season. Before the grass swing, he had won only two main-draw matches all year, highlighting his struggles for form.
Mochizuki has registered multiple main-draw wins at a tour-level event only twice in his career, reaching the semifinals in Tokyo in 2023 and the quarterfinals in Almaty in 2025. He will now look to achieve his best Grand Slam result.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Japan |
| Age | 23 (Born 2 June 2003) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 151 |
| Career High | 92 (10 November 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 291 (Rating: 1475) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Verdict
While Jodar may still have the edge based on his overall level this season, Mochizuki's superior grass-court pedigree makes the handicap markets particularly appealing. Backing Mochizuki to cover the +5.5 games handicap, Mochizuki to cover the +2.5 sets handicap, and Mochizuki to win over 17.5 games in the match are the selections that offer the best value.
Mochizuki +5.5
Handicap Games
@-116.28 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.
Mochizuki +2.5
Handicap Sets
@-238.10 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.
Over 17.5
Total Mochizuki
@-126.58 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.
Upcoming Events
22 July 2026
LA Dodgers @ PHI Phillies Baseball
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Predictions & Picks – Back Dodgers For Another MLB Win In Philly
Inter Miami v Chicago Fire Soccer
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Predictions & PIcks - Lewandowski To Net In High-Scoring MLS Debut
23 July 2026
24 July 2026
EDM Elks @ SAS Roughriders NFL
Edmonton Elks at Saskatchewan Roughriders Predictions & Picks – Take Elks & Free Points In CFL
Tyson Fury vs Mariusz Wach Boxing
Tyson Fury vs Mariusz Wach Preview – Fury Odds-On To Win Warm-Up For Joshua Fight
25 July 2026
CAL Stampeders @ WIN Blue Bombers NFL
Calgary Stampeders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers Predictions & Picks – Stampeders To Upset Blue Bombers In CFL
Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr UFC
Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov Predictions & Picks – Ankalev To Stop Guskov In UFC Main Event
How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov Live Stream
TOR Argonauts @ BC Lions NFL
Toronto Argonauts at BC Lions Predictions & Picks – Argonauts To Snap CFL Losing Skid
26 July 2026
HAM Tiger-Cats @ MON Alouettes NFL
Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes Predictions & Picks – Alouettes To Make It Four-In-A-Row In CFL
20 September 2026
Floyd Mayweather Jr vs Manny Pacquiao 2 Boxing
Floyd Mayweather Jr vs Manny Pacquiao 2 Preview & Picks – Mayweather To Repeat 2015 Victory
31 October 2026
2026 MLB Betting Specials Baseball
MLB Baseball Offer – Money Back If Your Team Leads At Start Of 9th Innings But Loses
Poker EventsStarts in
LA Dodgers @ PHI Phillies
Inter Miami v Chicago Fire
3M Open
LIV Golf UK
EDM Elks @ SAS Roughriders
Tyson Fury vs Mariusz Wach
CAL Stampeders @ WIN Blue Bombers
Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr
Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga
TOR Argonauts @ BC Lions
Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr
HAM Tiger-Cats @ MON Alouettes
Latest News
-
Back Bublik -
Torres +5.5Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torres Betting Picks & Live Stream – Torres Has Handicap Value in Estoril22 Jul 2026Read More
-
Borges -3.5Nuno Borges vs Roman Burruchaga Betting Picks & Live Stream – Borges Eyes Another Home Win in Estoril22 Jul 2026Read More
-
Struff in 2Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navone Betting Picks & Live Stream – Struff Has the Weapons to Prevail in Kitzbuhel22 Jul 2026Read More
-
Faria WinBotic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria Betting Picks & Live Stream – Faria Looks Set to Shine on Home Soil in Estoril21 Jul 2026Read More
