Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions & Picks – Under To Cash Again In NHL Playoffs Series Decider

leigh-copson
02 May 2026
Leigh Copson 02 May 2026
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  • Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning picks for Sunday, May 3
  • Game is taking place at Benchmark International Arena
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions & Picks

The Under is tipped to cash yet again in the deciding game of this series.

These two teams have traded wins and losses, with neither team stringing together victories in the series, but the one consistent outcome has been the pair going under the total.

  • The Under has cashed in each of the previous 5 meetings
  • The Under has hit in 13 of Montreal’s last 18 games with 1 push
  • The Under has cashed in 12 of Tampa Bay’s previous 16 games
  • Montreal Canadiens have won of the 3 previous meetings in Tampa

Head To Head

  • Tampa Bay Lightning lead the all-time series 78-53-17
  • Tampa Bay Lightning won 1-0 in overtime when the two teams last met on May 1

Montreal Canadiens Form

Montreal head back out on the road having passed up on the opportunity to clinch by losing for the fifth time in 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Apr-09 vs Tampa Bay Lightning W 2-1
Apr-11 vs Columbus Blue Jackets L 2-5
Apr-12 at New York Islanders W 4-1
Apr-14 at Philadelphia Flyers L 2-4
Apr-19 at Tampa Bay Lightning W 4-3 OT
Apr-21 at Tampa Bay Lightning L 2-3 OT
Apr-24 vs Tampa Bay Lightning W 3-2 OT
Apr-26 vs Tampa Bay Lightning L 2-3
Apr-29 at Tampa Bay Lightning W 3-2
May 1 vs Tampa Bay Lightning L 0-1 OT

Tampa Bay Lightning Form

Tampa Bay head home having forced Game 7 in this playoff series with their fifth win in 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Apr-09 at Montreal Canadiens L 1-2
Apr-11 at Boston Bruins W 2-1
Apr-13 vs Detroit Red Wings W 4-3 OT
Apr-15 vs New York Rangers L 2-4
Apr-19 vs Montreal Canadiens L 3-4 OT
Apr-21 vs Montreal Canadiens W 3-2 OT
Apr-24 at Montreal Canadiens L 2-3 OT
Apr-26 at Montreal Canadiens W 3-2
Apr-29 vs Montreal Canadiens L 2-3
May 1 at Montreal Canadiens W 1-0 OT

Verdict

The one consistent theme of this series has been the two teams going under the total.

Since putting up seven goals in the opener, Montreal and Tampa have gone under in five straight appearances, and it what is likely to be a tense game, that trend could continue.

Best Bet1: Under 5.5 Total Goals @-140.85 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Montreal Win Moneyline @140.00 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Under 5.5
Total Goals
@-140.85 - 4 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us
Montreal Win
Moneyline
@140.00 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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