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Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Betting Picks & Live Stream – Value Lies with Safiullin at Wimbledon
- Safiullin in strong form after Wimbledon qualifying run
- Rublev has solid overall season but struggled in last grass event
- Value found in betting Safiullin on handicap markets (+4.5 games, +1.5 sets)
Roman Safiullin plays a forehand against Casper Ruud in Paris
(credit: Getty)
Roman Safiullin is an extremely dangerous player whenever he gathers momentum, and his comeback appears to be gaining real traction in recent weeks. The Russian has won six of his nine grass-court matches this season, including three victories in the Wimbledon qualifying event, giving him plenty of confidence heading into this contest.
With his aggressive game clicking and his confidence growing, Safiullin looks well equipped to trouble an opponent who has struggled to produce consistent tennis in recent months.
A Tough Wimbledon Draw For Safiullin
- Rublev holds a 5–1 record in Wimbledon first-round matches.
- He owns an 11–2 record against players outside the Top 100 over the last 12 months.
- Safiullin has a 2–1 record in Wimbledon opening-round matches.
- He holds a 3–14 career record against Top 20 players.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Rublev Looks to Build on Clay Form
Andrey Rublev played only one grass-court event before Wimbledon, suffering a straight-sets first-round loss to Hubert Hurkacz in Halle. It was a disappointing result considering the solid performances he produced during the clay swing.
Apart from back-to-back opening-round exits at Indian Wells and Miami, Rublev has enjoyed a strong season, reaching the final in Barcelona, the semifinals in Doha, Dubai, and Hong Kong, the quarterfinals in Rome, and the fourth round at Roland Garros.
This will be Rublev's seventh main-draw appearance at Wimbledon. He has cleared the opening-round hurdle in five of his previous six appearances.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Russia |
| Age | 28 (Born 20 October 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 13 |
| Career High | 5 (13 September 2021) |
| Elo Ranking | 24 (Rating: 1902) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 17 |
Safiullin Builds Momentum Through Qualifying
Roman Safiullin qualified for the Wimbledon main draw after coming through a series of tough qualifying matches, including a five-set victory over Jerome Kym. This is only his third ATP Tour main-draw appearance of the season after first-round exits at Roland Garros and Stuttgart.
The Russian returned to competition earlier this year after a six-month injury layoff. Since then, he has mainly competed on the Challenger Tour to regain his form and match fitness.
That approach has worked well, as he won the Challenger titles in Oeiras and Mauthausen and reached the semifinals in Alicante before returning to ATP Tour events in recent weeks.
This will be Safiullin's fourth main-draw appearance at Wimbledon. He has cleared the opening round in two of his previous three visits, notably reaching the quarterfinals in 2023.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Russia |
| Age | 28 (Born 7 August 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 127 |
| Career High | 36 (8 January 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 88 (Rating: 1732) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Verdict
Given the momentum Safiullin has built and the value available at the current odds, the handicap markets stand out as the better approach. Backing Safiullin to cover the +4.5 games handicap and the +1.5 sets handicap are the selections that offer the best value in this matchup.
Safiullin +4.5
Handicap Games
@-172.41 - 2 Units
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Safiullin +1.5
Handicap Sets
@-125.00 - 2 Units
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