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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Betting Picks & Live Stream – Auger-Aliassime Offers the Best Value at Wimbledon
- Djokovic has dropped sets in 3 of 4 Wimbledon matches in 2026
- Auger-Aliassime is in peak form and has a 1-1 H2H with Djokovic
- Underdog and total games bets offer strong value
Felix Auger-Aliassime during Day Seven of the The Championships - Wimbledon 2026 in London
(credit: Getty)
Novak Djokovic has dropped at least one set in three of his four matches at this Wimbledon, and he has managed just one straight-sets victory since the Australian Open. That trend highlights how difficult it has become for him to dominate matches from start to finish. If this contest develops into a long four or five-set battle, Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior physical condition could become a major factor and give the Canadian a genuine opportunity to capitalize.
The Canadian's Biggest Opportunity
- Aliassime holds a 2–3 record in Grand Slam quarterfinals.
- He owns a 3–2 record against Top 10 players on grass.
- Djokovic holds a 14–2 record in Wimbledon quarterfinals.
- He has an 8–9 record against Top 10 players since the start of 2024.
HTH - Tied at 1-1
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Laver Cup | Indoor Hard | Match | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6–3, 7–6(3) |
| 2022 | Rome | Clay | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7–5, 7–6(1) |
Momentum Carries the Canadian Forward
Felix Auger-Aliassime reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals after overcoming Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 7-6, 6-1. After three straightforward wins in the opening rounds, the Canadian responded well to his first major test of the tournament.
This is his second Wimbledon quarterfinal and his first since 2021. During that breakthrough run, he also came through a five-set fourth-round battle before falling to Matteo Berrettini in the last eight.
The Canadian has continued the best season of his career, reaching a career-high ranking of No. 4 after winning the Montpellier title, finishing runner-up in Rotterdam, and reaching the Roland Garros quarterfinals, along with several other deep runs.
Auger-Aliassime heads into this clash with a 2-3 career record in Grand Slam quarterfinals. Both of his victories at this stage came at the US Open, in 2021 and 2025.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Canada |
| Age | 25 (Born 8 August 2000) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 4 |
| Career High | 4 (8 June 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 11 (Rating: 1958) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 9 |
Djokovic Targets Another Semifinal
Novak Djokovic secured his place in the Wimbledon quarterfinals with a 7-5, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory over Roman Safiullin. He recovered from 2-5 down in the opening set before taking control of the match.
Despite arriving without any grass-court warm-up events, Djokovic has steadily improved throughout the fortnight. Apart from his straight-set win over Stefanos Tsitsipas, he has dropped a set in each of his other matches but has consistently raised his level in the key moments.
This is Djokovic's 17th Wimbledon quarterfinal and ninth consecutive. He has won 14 of his previous 16 quarterfinals here, including each of his last seven.
Djokovic heads into this clash with a 52-10 career record in Grand Slam quarterfinals and has won 11 of his last 12 matches at this stage.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Serbia |
| Age | 39 (Born 22 May 1987) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 8 |
| Career High | 1 (4 July 2011) |
| Elo Ranking | 4 (Rating: 2059) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 101 |
Verdict
With Djokovic increasingly vulnerable in longer matches, there is value in siding with the underdog and the totals markets. Backing Felix Auger-Aliassime to win, over 4.5 sets, and over 38.5 games in the match are the selections that offer the most appeal.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match Winner
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Over 4.5
Total Sets
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Over 38.5
Total Games
@-188.68 - 2 Units
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