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Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Betting Picks & Live Stream – De Jong Carries the Experience Advantage in Bastad
- De Jong returns to Bastad after reaching the final last year
- Gaubas has struggled recently but had notable results earlier in 2025
- De Jong’s experience and clay form tip the balance in his favor
Jesper de Jong during Day Three of the The Championships - Wimbledon 2026 in London
(credit: Getty)
On current form, there is very little separating these two players, and both have the quality to come through this matchup. However, Jesper de Jong holds a significant edge in tour-level experience, particularly at this venue, where he reached the biggest final of his career last year. That familiarity with the conditions and experience of playing deep into the tournament could prove decisive.
De Jong Looks To Continue His Bastad Success
- Jesper de Jong reached the final in his only previous Bastad appearance in 2025.
- He has won eight of his last 10 matches on clay.
- Vilius Gaubas has failed to win a match in eight of his last 11 events.
- He has lost eight of his last nine matches against Top 100 players.
HTH - Jesper de Jong leads 1-0
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US Open | Q1-R | Hard | Jesper de Jong | 6-3, 6-4 |
De Jong Looks to Repeat Bastad Run
Jesper de Jong is coming off a second-round exit at Wimbledon, where he upset Rinky Hijikata in the opening round before losing to Joao Fonseca in straight sets.
The 26-year-old reached the fourth round at Roland Garros, the best Grand Slam result of his career, and followed it by winning the Cattolica Challenger title. Those results lifted him close to his previous career-high ranking of No. 71 after a slow start to the season.
This is his second appearance in Bastad. On his debut last year, he reached the final, his maiden ATP Tour final, and he returns looking to defend those ranking points.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Netherlands |
| Age | 26 (Born 31 May 2000) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 73 |
| Career High | 71 (5 January 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 102 (Rating: 1711) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Lithuanian Looks to Reverse Recent Form
Vilius Gaubas has struggled for consistency in recent months, with nine of his last 12 tournaments ending either in the qualifying stages or the opening round.
Despite that dip in form, the Lithuanian produced several notable results earlier this season, reaching the quarterfinals in Santiago, recording main-draw wins in Rio de Janeiro and Madrid, and making the Oeiras Challenger semifinals.
This is his second appearance in Bastad. He failed to qualify for the main draw last year but now has another opportunity to make an impact at the tournament.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Lithuania |
| Age | 21 (Born 29 December 2004) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 128 |
| Career High | 101 (2 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 191 (Rating: 1581) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Verdict
With De Jong's experience giving him the slight edge in what should be a closely contested match, he looks the better option. Backing De Jong to win, De Jong to win in three sets, and over 21.5 games in the match.
Jesper de Jong
Match Winner
@-227.27 - 2 Units
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De Jong 2-1
Correct Score
@284.00 - 1 Unit
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Over 21.5
Total Games
@-133.33 - 2 Units
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