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Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Betting Picks & Live Stream – De Minaur Can Wear Down Cobolli at Wimbledon
- De Minaur's physical and baseline consistency give him an edge
- Backing De Minaur on -4.5 games and -1.5 sets handicaps is recommended
- Straight-sets win for De Minaur is the favored outcome
Alex De Minaur returns to Zachary Svajda in London
(credit: Getty)
Flavio Cobolli may be enjoying the best spell of his career, having recently reached the French Open final and now closing in on defending his Wimbledon quarterfinal points. However, he appears to be carrying some physical concerns after requiring a medical timeout during his previous match and showing signs of fatigue. Against an opponent as relentless as Alex de Minaur, those fitness issues could prove decisive.
A High-Stakes Last-16 Battle
- Alex de Minaur holds a 1–2 record in Wimbledon fourth-round matches.
- He owns a 3–13 career record against Top 10 players at Grand Slams.
- Flavio Cobolli holds a 2–0 record in fourth-round Grand Slam matches.
- He has a 3–3 record against Top 10 players in 2026.
HTH - Alex De Minaur leads 2-0
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Vienna | Indoor Hard | R16 | Alex de Minaur | 7–6(2), 3–6, 6–1 |
| 2024 | Australian Open | Hard | 3R | Alex de Minaur | 6–3, 6–3, 6–1 |
De Minaur Finds His Best Form
Alex de Minaur defeated Zachary Svajda 6-2, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 to move into the fourth round at Wimbledon. He saved seven of the 11 break points he faced and converted eight of the 18 break opportunities he created.
The Australian has now reached the fourth round at Wimbledon for the fourth time. He has converted one of his previous three appearances into a quarterfinal, his best result at the Championships, in 2024.
After a solid start to the season, De Minaur struggled through the middle months, winning only four matches between Acapulco and Rome. However, he has rediscovered his confidence with a semifinal in Hamburg, a runner-up finish in 's-Hertogenbosch, and a quarterfinal at Queen's Club.
De Minaur heads into this clash with a 7-7 career record in Grand Slam fourth-round matches, having won six of his last seven at this stage.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Australia |
| Age | 27 (Born 17 February 1999) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 6 |
| Career High | 6 (15 July 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 9 (Rating: 1961) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 11 |
Italian Shows Remarkable Resilience
Flavio Cobolli moved into the fourth round after surviving a five-set battle against Karen Khachanov 0-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2, 6-2. Earlier this week, he also defeated Mariano Navone and James Duckworth in four sets.
The Italian has been inconsistent throughout the season, but when he has found his rhythm, he has produced deep runs. His highlights include three finals, including his maiden Grand Slam final at Roland Garros, along with a quarterfinal in Madrid and a semifinal in Delray Beach.
Those outstanding results have helped Cobolli achieve a career-high ranking of No. 10, and he has carried that confidence into Wimbledon with another impressive run.
Cobolli heads into this clash with a 2-0 career record in Grand Slam fourth-round matches.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Italy |
| Age | 24 (Born 6 May 2002) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 10 |
| Career High | 10 (8 June 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 23 (Rating: 1896) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 3 |
Verdict
This looks like the type of matchup in which De Minaur can fully exploit his physical edge and consistency from the baseline. Backing De Minaur to cover the -4.5 games handicap, De Minaur to cover the -1.5 sets handicap, and De Minaur to win in straight sets are the selections that stand out most in this contest.
De Minaur -4.5
Handicap Games
@-156.25 - 2 Units
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De Minaur -1.5
Handicap Sets
@-178.57 - 2 Units
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De Minaur 3-0
Correct Score
@150.00 - 2 Units
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