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Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Betting Picks & Live Stream – Pellegrino Handicap Appeals at ATP Rome
- Pellegrino earned his maiden Masters main-draw win in Rome, beating Nardi
- Fils enters with strong 2026 momentum, ranked #17, and deep Masters runs
- Their first-ever meeting is expected to be competitive, with a close scoreline likely
Andrea Pellegrino against Nicolas Jarry in Estoril
(credit: Getty)
Arthur Fils has been one of the most consistent players on tour this year, regularly making deep runs, including a semifinal appearance in Madrid last week. However, he rarely blows opponents away and often allows matches to stay competitive for long stretches.
Masters Breakthrough Boosts Pellegrino
- Andrea Pellegrino had never won a Masters main-draw match before this week.
- He won his only previous Top 20 meeting at the 2025 Estoril Challenger.
- Arthur Fils is 2–1 in Rome opening rounds.
- He is on a 15-match winning streak vs outside Top 50 players.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Pellegrino Claims Maiden Masters Victory
Andrea Pellegrino came from a set down to defeat Luca Nardi 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 and move into the second round in Rome. It was his third victory of the week after qualifying wins over Hugo Gaston and Martin Landaluce.
This marked Pellegrino’s first-ever win at Masters level. Before this week, he had made six appearances at Masters events and failed to progress beyond qualifying, including in Madrid and Monte Carlo earlier this season.
The Italian will be especially pleased with the result considering the fitness problems he dealt with recently. He retired during qualifying in both Marrakech and Monte Carlo a few weeks ago.
The 29-year-old has also struggled for consistency this season. Apart from a quarterfinal run in Santiago, the best tour-level result of his career, his other tour appearances ended in qualifying or opening-round exits. He also reached two Challenger quarterfinals this year.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy |
| Age | 29 (23 March 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 155 |
| Career High | 125 (02 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 211 (Rating: 1558) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Fils Carrying Strong Momentum Forward
Arthur Fils has continued to impress since returning from injury, consistently producing deep runs and exceeding expectations. His strong performances have helped him climb back inside the top 20 rankings.
The 21-year-old began his season only in February but has already played seven tournaments. He reached at least the quarterfinals in six of them, including semifinal runs in Miami and Madrid along with a quarterfinal appearance in Cincinnati.
Fils has played three Masters events this season and either matched or achieved his best result at each tournament. He now looks to continue that trend in Rome.
This is his fourth appearance at the Italian Open. He has cleared the opening round in two of his previous three visits, most recently reaching the fourth round in 2025.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | France |
| Age | 21 (12 June 2004) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 17 |
| Career High | 14 (14 April 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 5 (Rating: 2046) |
| Tour level titles | 4 |
Verdict
Andrea Pellegrino should benefit from home support and has enough clay-court ability to keep the scoreline respectable. Backing over 18.5 games and Pellegrino to cover the +5.5 games handicap all look reasonable based on how Fils’ matches have been unfolding recently.
Over 18.5
Total Games
@-158.73 - 2 Units
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Pellegrino +5.5
Handicap Games
@-101.01 - 2 Units
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