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Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar Betting Picks & Live Stream – Jodar to Continue His Rise at ATP Rome
- Rafael Jodar is in top form, winning 13/15 clay matches & climbing to No. 34
- Matteo Arnaldi has improved recently but still trails Jodar’s level
- Jodar favored to win comfortably in straight sets at the Rome Masters
Rafael Jodar celebrates during his single match against Nuno Borges in Rome
(credit: Getty)
Matteo Arnaldi is slowly getting back into form after the fitness problems that disrupted his momentum earlier this season. However, he still appears some way short of the level currently being produced by Rafael Jodar, who is in red-hot form and riding a strong winning streak.
Jodar Continues Impressive Rise
- Matteo Arnaldi is 3–5 in Masters third rounds.
- He lost six of his last eight matches vs Top 50 players.
- Rafael Jodar won 13 of his 15 clay matches this year.
- He has a 1–1 record in Masters third rounds.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Arnaldi Finds Form At Perfect Time
Matteo Arnaldi moved into the third round in Rome after back-to-back three-set victories over Jaume Munar and Alex de Minaur. It is his best result in five appearances at the tournament.
The Italian endured a difficult stretch earlier this season, failing to win a main draw match in his first eight events. A retirement in Brisbane and several early exits pushed him outside the top 100 rankings.
However, Arnaldi has shown strong improvement in recent weeks and is currently riding a seven-match winning streak after lifting the title in Cagliari. He now looks to continue building momentum in Rome.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy |
| Age | 25 (22 February 2001) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 106 |
| Career High | 29 (12 August 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 83 (Rating: 1732) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Jodar Carrying Huge Clay Momentum
Rafael Jodar opened his Rome Masters campaign with a 7-6, 6-4 victory over Nuno Borges. He fired 11 aces and saved seven of the eight break points he faced during the match.
The 19-year-old has continued his rapid rise on tour this season. He made his tour-level main draw debut at the Australian Open earlier this year and recorded his first back-to-back wins on tour in Miami by reaching the third round.
Jodar elevated his level even further once the clay season began. He captured the title in Marrakech in his first tour-level clay event and then followed it with consecutive semifinal runs in Barcelona and Madrid.
Those impressive results helped the Spaniard climb from outside the top 150 to a career-high ranking of No. 34. He now arrives in Rome full of momentum and confidence.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 19 (17 September 2006) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 34 |
| Career High | 34 (04 May 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 10 (Rating: 1980) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Verdict
Jodar looks well positioned to control this matchup from the start. Backing Jodar to win in straight sets and cover the -3.5 games handicap both line up with the current gap in form between these two players.
Jodar 2-0
Correct Score
@-120.48 - 2 Units
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Jodar -3.5
Handicap Games
@-161.29 - 2 Units
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See also
- Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Betting Picks & Live Stream – Paul’s Consistency Appeals in Rome
- Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Bublik to Pull Clear Early at ATP Rome
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo Betting Picks & Live Stream – Musetti Favoured on Clay at ATP Rome
- Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Zverev to Win with Margin at ATP Rome
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