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Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Upset Watch on Medvedev in Rome at ATP Rome
- Llamas Ruiz is in top clay form, winning 17 matches in this swing
- He faces Medvedev, who advanced without playing due to Machac’s withdrawal
- Llamas Ruiz's current momentum could challenge Medvedev’s lack of match rhythm
Pablo Llamas Ruiz in action against Corentin Moutet in Rome
(credit: Getty)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz arrives with strong momentum after winning 17 matches during this European clay swing, including four already in Rome. Having spent plenty of time on these courts this week should also give him an advantage against Daniil Medvedev, who is yet to play a match on his way into the third round.
Top-10 Barrier Challenges Llamas
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 0–3 against Top 10 players in his career.
- He has never won more than two main-draw matches on tour.
- Daniil Medvedev is 3–0 in Masters third rounds.
- He holds a 19–3 record vs outside Top 100 players in Masters events.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Llamas Ruiz Keeps Winning Thrillers
Pablo Llamas Ruiz continued his breakthrough run in Rome after surviving Corentin Moutet 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 to reach the third round. He twice trailed by a break in the deciding set before completing another comeback victory.
This was his fourth three-set win of the week, including the qualifying rounds. Before arriving in Rome, Llamas Ruiz had never defeated a top-50 player, but he has now earned back-to-back wins over players in that ranking range, including Ethan Quinn in the opening round.
The Spaniard started the season outside the top 200 rankings but steadily improved through strong Challenger results, recording five quarterfinal-or-better finishes. Combined with his impressive Rome campaign, he is now closing in on the top 120.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 23 (13 October 2002) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 139 |
| Career High | 131 (16 October 2023) |
| Elo Ranking | 109 (Rating: 1694) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Medvedev Advances After Machac Withdrawal
Daniil Medvedev received a free pass into the third round in Rome after Tomas Machac withdrew because of illness. The Russian is now one win away from reaching the round of 16 in Rome for the fourth consecutive year.
Last month, Medvedev suffered one of the toughest defeats of his career against Matteo Berrettini in Monte Carlo. However, he responded positively by reaching the fourth round in Madrid the following week.
The Russian is now aiming to stabilize his place inside the top 10 after losing that status around the same period last year. Earlier this season, he reached three finals, winning titles in Dubai and Brisbane while also making the fourth round at the Australian Open.
Medvedev owns a strong 9-3 record in third-round matches at clay Masters events. Three of those victories came in Rome, including during his title-winning campaign in 2023.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 9 |
| Career High | 1 (28 February 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 6 (Rating: 2000) |
| Tour level titles | 23 |
Verdict
The main concern with Llamas Ruiz remains his physical durability, which has troubled him throughout his career. Still, with the form and confidence he currently carries, there is definite value on the Spaniard here.
Backing Llamas Ruiz to cause the upset, win in straight sets, under 2.5 sets, and under 23.5 total games all fit the scenario where he starts fast and takes advantage of Medvedev’s lack of match rhythm.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Match Winner
@201.00 - 2 Units
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Llamas Ruiz 2-0
Correct Score
@395.00 - 1 Unit
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Under 2.5
Total Sets
@-196.08 - 2 Units
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Under 23.5
Total Games
@-185.19 - 2 Units
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See also
- Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Betting Picks & Live Stream – Cobolli to Edge Physical Contest at ATP Rome
- Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin Betting Picks & Live Stream – Handicap Value Appears on Popyrin at ATP Rome
- Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medjedovic to Push Through in Straight Sets at ATP Rome
- Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino Betting Picks & Live Stream – Pellegrino to Push Tiafoe Deep at ATP Rome
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