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Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Betting Picks & Live Stream – Jodar to Extend His Momentum in Rome at ATP Rome
- Rafael Jodar holds a strong advantage on clay with a 14–2 record this year
- Learner Tien shows improvement but lacks Jodar's consistency on clay
- Jodar is tipped to win in straight sets and cover the -3.5 games handicap
Rafael Jodar celebrates against Matteo Arnaldi in Rome
(credit: Getty)
Rafael Jodar won this matchup on hard courts at the Next Gen Finals last year, and he now arrives as a far more improved and confident player. His excellent form on clay further strengthens his position, especially against Learner Tien, who is still trying to fully establish himself on this surface.
Clay Momentum Powers Jodar
- Rafael Jodar is 1–0 in Masters Round-of-16 matches.
- He holds a 14–2 clay record this year.
- Learner Tien is 1–2 in Masters Round-of-16 matches.
- He has a 7–4 record vs Top 50 players this year.
HTH - Rafael Jodar leads 1-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Next Gen ATP Finals | Indoor | — | Jodar | 1-4, 4-3(3), 1-4, 4-2, 4-3(4) |
Jodar Continues Remarkable 2026 Surge
Rafael Jodar advanced to the fourth round in Rome Masters after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-1, 4-6, 6-3. He dropped serve four times during the match and trailed 1-3 in the deciding set before winning five consecutive games to seal the victory.
The Spanish teenager has quickly become one of the rising forces on tour in recent months. He continues to produce deep runs on a consistent basis, highlighting both his growing confidence and potential.
The 19-year-old made his tour-level debut only at the Australian Open earlier this season and failed to record consecutive wins until late March. Since then, however, his rise has accelerated rapidly.
Jodar is now just one victory away from reaching his fourth consecutive quarterfinal on tour and a second Masters quarterfinal. With this latest result, he is also set to make his top-30 debut next week.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 19 (17 September 2006) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 34 |
| Career High | 34 (04 May 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 10 (Rating: 1980) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Tien Shows Growing Clay Court Ability
Learner Tien reached the fourth round in Rome after coming from a set down to defeat Alexander Bublik 4-6, 6-3, 7-5. Despite some early struggles, he stayed solid throughout the contest and finished strongly in the deciding set.
This marks the first time in his career that Tien has won consecutive main draw matches on clay at tour level. The result should give the young American greater confidence and belief on the surface moving forward.
Tien has shown tremendous improvement since last season, collecting 10 quarterfinal-or-better finishes. His standout performances include a breakthrough run at the Australian Open, which pushed him close to a top-20 debut in the rankings.
The 21-year-old earned his first Masters win in Rome last year. Since then, he has played three round-of-16 matches at Masters level, losing in Toronto and Shanghai before winning at Indian Wells earlier this season.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | USA |
| Age | 20 (2 December 2005) |
| Plays | Left-handed |
| World Ranking | 21 |
| Career High | 21 (16 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 22 (Rating: 1903) |
| Tour level titles | 1 |
Verdict
Jodar’s current confidence and comfort on clay give him a clear edge heading into this contest. Backing Jodar to win in straight sets and cover the -3.5 games handicap both fit the expected direction of this matchup.
Jodar 2-0
Correct Score
@-133.33 - 2 Units
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Jodar -3.5
Handicap Games
@-181.82 - 2 Units
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