Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci Betting Picks & Live Stream – Burruchaga to Win with Authority at ATP Rome

james-smith
07 May 2026
James Smith 07 May 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Burruchaga is on a 11-2 clay win streak and ranked No. 56
  • Bellucci has struggled with early exits and poor clay performance
  • Burruchaga is favored to win in straight sets in their first meeting
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman Andres Burruchaga plays a backhand against Hubert Hurkacz in Cagliari (credit: Getty)
Roman Andres Burruchaga recently achieved a breakthrough at tour level with an impressive run in Houston and has now won 11 of his last 13 matches, all on clay. He arrives with strong momentum and confidence against an out-of-form Mattia Bellucci.

Burruchaga Carries Strong Momentum

  • Roman Andres Burruchaga is 14–4 vs outside Top 50 players on clay in 2026. 
  • He cleared the first round in five of his last six tour events. 
  • Mattia Bellucci is 2–8 in Masters opening rounds. 
  • He has a 3–7 career clay record at tour level.

HTH

This will be their first meeting.

Burruchaga Continues Clay Surge

Roman Andres Burruchaga continues to build strong momentum on clay and arrives in Rome after reaching the semifinal in Cagliari. He lost to Hubert Hurkacz despite leading by a set. 

The Argentine began the season outside the top 100 and struggled for consistency early on. However, his level improved significantly during the clay swing, winning 11 of his last 13 matches, including a maiden tour-level final in Houston and the Sao Paulo Challenger title. 

Those results helped him climb to a career-high ranking of No. 56. He now looks to carry that momentum into the Masters events, having previously reached the second round in Rome on his debut last year.

CategoryDetails
NationalityArgentina
Age24 (23 January 2002)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking56
Career High56 (04 May 2026)
Elo Ranking71 (Rating: 1754)
Tour level titles0

Bellucci Struggles To Maintain Form

Mattia Bellucci has struggled for consistency this season and arrives this week having lost four of his last five clay matches. Three of those defeats came against lower-ranked opponents. 

The Italian has produced three semifinal-or-better runs on the Challenger circuit this year, but he has found it difficult to translate that form onto the main tour. In 10 tour-level appearances, eight ended in qualifying or first-round exits. 

His only notable tour result this season was a quarterfinal run in Acapulco. Bellucci has played 10 Masters main draws in his career and cleared the opening round only twice, both times in Shanghai over the last two years.

CategoryDetails
NationalityItaly
Age24 (1 June 2001)
PlaysLeft-handed
World Ranking80
Career High63 (14 July 2025)
Elo Ranking124 (Rating: 1677)
Tour level titles0

Verdict

Burruchaga looks in a much stronger place both physically and mentally heading into this matchup. Backing him to win, win in straight sets, and cover the -3.5 games handicap all fit the expectation of a controlled performance.

Best Bet1: Roman Burruchaga Match Winner @-232.56 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Burruchaga 2-0 Correct Score @107.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Burruchaga -3.5 Handicap Games @-114.94 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Roman Burruchaga
Match Winner
@-232.56 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Burruchaga 2-0
Correct Score
@107.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Burruchaga -3.5
Handicap Games
@-114.94 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

Upcoming Events

20 September 2026